It was another ugly week in Turkey, as anti-Syrian violence erupted in several cities in response to reports that a Syrian man molested a minor. At the same time, Syrians attacked Turkish targets and burned flags in Turkey-controlled areas of the country. Is last week’s violence a harbinger of things to come? Will inter-communal violence be added to Turkey’s myriad social problems?
The events have scared Turkish president Erdogan and his nationalist ally Bahceli into suing for peace with Assad. They want Syrian refugees to go home s quickly as possible. Another objective of Turkey’s Syria policy is stop the formation of an Kurdish autonomous region, which may harbor PKK terrorists. Finally, Putin also wants peace in Syria, to focus his financial and military resources on Ukraine.
Asad and Erdogan will probably meet this year to hold preliminary talks. There is a huge economic prize for both parties if a peace can be signed: Reconstruction aid for Syria, where Turkish construction companies can be awarded lucrative contracts. Yet, Erdogan and Assad have very different objectives in the quest for peace. Is peace possible in Syria?
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