TÜSİAR Survey: AK Party Leads as CHP Sees Slight Decline

TÜSİAR Research & Consultancy has released the results of its ‘Turkey Agenda Survey’, conducted between February 5-8, 2025, with 1,600 participants across 26 provinces, selected based on the NUTS-2 regional classification. The survey was structured according to gender, age, and voter distribution quotas.

Demographics of the Survey

  • Gender Distribution: 50.4% male, 49.6% female
  • Age Groups:
    • 18-24: 15.3%
    • 25-34: 20.4%
    • 35-44: 20.6%
    • 45-54: 17.3%
    • 55+: 26.4%

Key Findings on Political Party Support

AK Party Leads with 31.5%

The AK Party secured the highest vote share at 31.5%, marking a 2.8 percentage point increase from the previous Turkey Report survey (October 2024).

CHP Sees Slight Drop

The CHP ranked second with 29.7%, reflecting a 0.3% decline compared to the previous survey.

MHP and DEM Party Trends

  • MHP remained stable at 9.3%.
  • DEM Party dropped 1.5 percentage points, landing at 8.7%.

Minor Parties and Shifts in Support

  • Yeniden Refah Party maintained its position with 4.3%.
  • IYI Party continued its downward trend, reaching 4.2%.
  • Victory Party saw a slight decline to 4.1%.
  • TİP (Workers’ Party of Turkey) lost 1.6% of its previous support.
  • ANAHTAR Party registered a weak performance with 1.3%.
  • Yeni Yol Party (DEVA, Gelecek, SP), formed to establish a parliamentary group, polled at 1.2%.

The AK Party’s rise signals a potential strengthening of its voter base, while the CHP’s minor decline suggests a need to consolidate support. The DEM Party’s losses and IYI Party’s continued vote erosion highlight shifting dynamics within opposition parties.

Source: Paraanaliz.com

Translation: Cem Cetinguc