ASAL Survey: Mansur Yavaş Leads Presidential Poll, Surpassing Erdoğan

ASAL Research has released its Turkey Political Agenda February 2025 Survey, revealing a notable shift in voter preferences ahead of potential elections. The results show that Ankara Metropolitan Mayor Mansur Yavaş is currently leading over President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in a hypothetical presidential race.

Survey Details & Key Findings

The survey was conducted between 15-22 February 2025 in 26 provinces, with a sample size of 2,000 participants. Respondents were asked: “If a presidential election were held this Sunday, who would you like to see as President?”

  • Mansur Yavaş: 24.2%
  • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 22%
  • Ekrem İmamoğlu (CHP’s sole primary candidate): 18.6%
  • Hakan Fidan (Foreign Minister): 7.8%
  • Selçuk Bayraktar (Erdoğan’s son-in-law): 3%
  • Özgür Özel (CHP Chairman): 3.4%
  • Fatih Erbakan (Yeniden Refah Party Chairman): 2.3%
  • Ümit Özdağ: 1.5%
  • Yavuz Ağıralioğlu (Anahtar Party Chairman): 1%

With the AKP reportedly strategizing for 360 parliamentary seats to trigger an early election, survey results are being closely watched as the political landscape evolves.