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Turkish Economy: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

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[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8sXg-nAZJ4Q&t=89s[/embed]   Turkish Economy: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly  
  • Turkish economy is staging a robust recovery according to June-July data, parallel to the rest of the world.
 
  • It is important to separate trends from Covid-19 related “normalization”.
 
  • The good news comes from the external account. Driven by exports current account deficits are narrowing sharply.
 
  • Bad news is twofold: Unemployment and inflation are extremely sticky at very high levels.
 
  • “The Ugly” is official stats agency Turkstat which constantly fiddles with data. Unemployment and inflation could be worse than the numbers suggest.
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