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Ukraine Counter-Attack Will Have Daunting Consequences for Turkey

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[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nvEgsYkKUIk[/embed]   kraine’s counterattack in Kharkiv and Kherson doesn’t guarantee the country a victory, but Putin has lost.  
  • Putin’s political future is in stake, which means he will redouble his efforts. How?
 
  • There is the nuclear option, and there is the economic option.
 
  • The economic option could hurt Turkey significantly. How?
 
  • EM credit risk premiums will rise faster.
 
  • Another energy and food stuffs rally is a strong probability in winter months.
 
  • EU’s recession shapes up to be deeper and longer.
 
  • Erdogan has high hopes that Putin will bankroll his election campaign, he may be disappointed.
 
  • US is now more likely to impose sanctions on Turkey for alleged violations of Russia sanctions.
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