Presidential Election Poll: Yavaş Leads Against Erdoğan, İmamoğlu Trails

Presidential Election Poll Reveals Key Opposition Figures’ Vote Shares

A recent survey conducted by ASAL Research measured potential vote shares in the upcoming presidential election, assessing how leading opposition candidates would fare against President and AKP Chairman Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.

Participants were asked: “Who would you vote for if the candidates in the next presidential election were as follows?”, with two key matchups analyzed:

• Mansur Yavaş vs. Erdoğan:

  • Mansur Yavaş: 44.4%
  • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 40.1%

• Ekrem İmamoğlu vs. Erdoğan:

  • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 42.5%
  • Ekrem İmamoğlu: 39.7%

The results indicate that Mansur Yavaş holds an electoral advantage over Erdoğan, while Ekrem İmamoğlu trails slightly behind.

Who Should Be CHP’s Presidential Candidate?

The survey also asked respondents: “Who would you like to see as CHP’s presidential candidate in the upcoming elections?”

• Mansur Yavaş: 31.7%
• Ekrem İmamoğlu: 24.4%
• Özgür Özel: 4%
• None: 8.1%
• No Idea/No Answer: 25.5%

Key Takeaways

• Mansur Yavaş emerges as the strongest opposition candidate against Erdoğan, securing a lead in a direct contest.
• İmamoğlu’s support is lower compared to Yavaş, making his potential candidacy more uncertain.
• CHP voters favor Yavaş as their preferred presidential candidate, followed by İmamoğlu.

With Turkey’s political landscape heating up, these findings suggest that Yavaş could be the most formidable opposition contender if Erdoğan runs again.

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