• Turkish president Erdogan claimed in his speech to the parliament that Israel’s target after Lebanon is Turkey.
• Is this claim serious? How would Turkey and Israel even “fight”?
• It appears Erdogan and his ally Bahceli use the threat of Israeli aggression to pass a new constitution.
• Why? Because a new constitution will grant Erdogan an extra term. Currently, he is a lame duck.
• All this being said, the war in the middle East is costing Turkey dearly, a damage that can grow by orders of magnitude Israel attacks Iran’s oil terminals, triggering a tit-for-tat cycle of retaliation.