Can Erdogan Steal the Election? (Or Will He Retire Quietly?)
- Erdogan is facing mounting challenges to defend his post. His main rival Kilicdaroglu is making progress in the polls, as the opposition controls the narrative.
- Yet, the notion among experts that Erdogan is invincible is difficult to break. The Kilicdaroglu skeptics claim Erdogan will rather steal the elections than swallow a career-ending defeat.
- Turkish elections did indeed experience wide-spread cheating in the past, always engineered by AKP and its allies.
- What can be the leading methods to steal elections? Ballot stuffing, manipulation of voter rolls and finally brute force.
- In this podcast I argue that none of these methods are effective in Turkey’s rapidly evolving socio-political environment.
- I spend considerable time shooting down the theory that high courts and the Army will collude with Erdogan to preserve his reign if he loses a more-or-less free election.
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