KONDA: Support for the AKP down, centre-right opposition up

In a study by Turkey’s leading pollster KONDA, support for Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) dropped 2.4 percent in September, lowering its expected vote to 36.7 percent.

AKP’s junior coalition partner, the far-right Nationalist Movement Party (MHP), also lost 1.1 percent of its support, lowering its expected vote to 10.6 percent and bringing the total support for the Nation (“Millet”) alliance to 47.3 percent.

Meanwhile the Good Party (İYİP), which was established by former MHP members gets 14.8 percent support.

Main opposition centre-left Republican People’s Party (CHP) has 21.6 percent support, while the left-wing pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democratic Party (HDP) has 11.5 percent.

Turkey’s remaining parties, including the two AKP breakaways Future Party (GP) and Democracy and Progress Party (DEVA), have a total of 4.8 percent of the vote.

The striking fact from the study is the growing number of undecided voters which is currently around 36 percent as the core constituencies are shrinking for all parties.  At 23.2 percent for the AKP, 6.7 percent for MHP; 13.6 percent for CHP; 9.4 percent for İYİP; and 7.3 percent for HDP.