According to the ORC Research company, its early-December survey shows the Nation Alliance (CHP-IYIP) is 4 points ahead of the People’s Alliance (the governing bloc consisting of AKP and nationalist MHP), while pro-Kurdish Rights HDP and MHP are at the national qualification threshold of 7 percent. Adding smaller constituents of the six-party main opposition alliance (Table of Six), it enjoys a commanding lead of ca 9 points over the governing bloc.
According to the ORC Research company, the Nation Alliance is 4 points ahead of the People’s Alliance, while the HDP and MHP are at the threshold of 7 percent.
ORC Research company conducted face-to-face interviews with 3,670 people in 42 provinces on 3-6 December 2022. The survey company asked the participants, “Which party would you vote for if there was an election this Sunday?” According to the results of the survey, the support rates of the parties are as follows:
AKP: 30.8 percent
CHP: 24.0 percent
IYI Party: 17.1 percent
HDP: 7.3 percent
MHP: 7.0 percent
Future Party: 2.8 percent (part of Table of Six)
Deva Party: 2.3 percent (Part of Table of Six)
Turkey Change Party: 2.1 percent
Welfare Party: 1.6 percent (Part of Table of Six)
Victory Party: 1.5 percent (anti-immigrant)
Independent Turkey Party: 1.3 percent (Islamist-moderate)
Homeland Party: 1.0 percent (pro-AKP, left-wing)
Other: 1.2 percent
According to the results of the survey, the vote rate of the Nation Alliance, formed by the CHP and the IYI Party, was 41.1 percent.
The vote rate of the People’s Alliance, formed by the AK Party and MHP, is 37.8 percent.
WATCH: Erdogan Will Never Win An Election, Ever Again!
Averages of 15 polls taken in November and early December put AKP-MHP at around 40%, with Table of Six commanding 45%. HDP-led left wing alliance has 13% of the national vote.
These results demonstrate that the summer-fall surge of AKP-MHP has petered off in November-December.
The Table of Six regained the lead, but has not managed to increase its share of the national vote.
Lates presidential polls show the presumptive candidate of Table of Six, Kemal Kilicdaroglu leading incumbent Erdogan in the second round of the presidential race, but Erdogan may be closing the distance according to some polls.
Follow our English language YouTube videos @ REAL TURKEY: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKpFJB4GFiNkhmpVZQ_d9Rg
And content at Twitter: @AtillaEng
Facebook: Real Turkey Channel: https://www.facebook.com/realturkeychannel/