Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets Morgan Stanley: CBT Preview: Something’s Gotta Give Atilla YeşiladaPosted on26 May, 2022 We expect the CBT to stay on hold on May 26, but the need for … Continue ReadingMorgan Stanley: CBT Preview: Something’s Gotta Give
Categories Finance HYPED JP Morgan: CBRT remains firmly motionless Atilla YeşiladaPosted on15 April, 2022 As widely expected, the CBRT left its key policy rate unchanged at 14.0%. Also, as … Continue ReadingJP Morgan: CBRT remains firmly motionless
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets Central Bank MPC: Inflation? No problem Atilla YeşiladaPosted on14 April, 2022 CBRT kept 1-week repo rate (policy rate) stable at 14%, as expected, for the forth … Continue ReadingCentral Bank MPC: Inflation? No problem
Categories Economy General HIGHLIGHTS Prices expected to fall after value-added tax cuts Cem CetingucPosted on31 March, 202231 March, 2022 The effect of the recently announced tax cuts on prices is expected to be seen in the next … Continue ReadingPrices expected to fall after value-added tax cuts
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS Kenneth Rogoff has a dire warning for Turkey Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 March, 20227 September, 2022 Turkey may be in danger of slumping into a deeper economic crisis than it experienced … Continue ReadingKenneth Rogoff has a dire warning for Turkey
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS Turkey Central Bank, sorry, Erdogan leaves policy rate unchanged, currency under pressure again Atilla YeşiladaPosted on17 March, 2022 The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has decided to hold interest rates at … Continue ReadingTurkey Central Bank, sorry, Erdogan leaves policy rate unchanged, currency under pressure again
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS Prof Turalay Kenç: Turkey’s unorthodox monetary policy Atilla YeşiladaPosted on4 March, 2022 Economic history resoundingly shows that monetary stimulus alone to boost economic growth against the backdrop … Continue ReadingProf Turalay Kenç: Turkey’s unorthodox monetary policy
Categories Economy Finance General HIGHLIGHTS Investors brace for central banks’ retreat from bond markets Cem CetingucPosted on19 February, 2022 The biggest buyers in bond markets are now poised to become sellers, as central banks … Continue ReadingInvestors brace for central banks’ retreat from bond markets
Categories Atilla Yeşilada Emerging Markets HIGHLIGHTS Commentary: Why most EM are uninvestable? Atilla YeşiladaPosted on6 February, 2022 Since before the pandemic, at the beginning of each year, strategists and fund managers have … Continue ReadingCommentary: Why most EM are uninvestable?
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS JP Morgan on Turkey: annual inflation gets near the 50% mark as expected Atilla YeşiladaPosted on4 February, 2022 Turkey posted a double-digit monthly inflation for the second consecutive month; this was not seen … Continue ReadingJP Morgan on Turkey: annual inflation gets near the 50% mark as expected
Categories Emerging Markets HIGHLIGHTS Patrick Curran: EM central banks still ahead of the curve but vulnerable Atilla YeşiladaPosted on24 January, 2022 US CPI rose from 6.8% to 7% yoy in December (in line with expectations), and … Continue ReadingPatrick Curran: EM central banks still ahead of the curve but vulnerable
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS CBRT passes up on rate cut, but more are underway Atilla YeşiladaPosted on20 January, 2022 The Turkish Central Bank left its weekly repo rate unchanged 14%, in-line with expectations. This … Continue ReadingCBRT passes up on rate cut, but more are underway
Categories Business Finance General HIGHLIGHTS Deutsche: Turkey: recent developments and what’s next Atilla YeşiladaPosted on19 January, 2022 In this report, we discuss recent developments regarding the FX-protected lira deposit scheme, provide an … Continue ReadingDeutsche: Turkey: recent developments and what’s next
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets Turkey: Central Bank sells over 7 bn dollars in a month Atilla YeşiladaPosted on8 January, 2022 The Central Bank of Turkey sold 7.28 billion dollars in December to inject liquidity into … Continue ReadingTurkey: Central Bank sells over 7 bn dollars in a month
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS Turkey: Economic theory strikes back; inflation reaches 36% Atilla YeşiladaPosted on6 January, 2022 The unorthodox economic views of major policy makers, a premature and front-loaded monetary easing delivered … Continue ReadingTurkey: Economic theory strikes back; inflation reaches 36%
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Central Bank of Turkey chasing pipe dreams Atilla YeşiladaPosted on31 December, 2021 Turkey’s central bank will monitor risks related to the foreign exchange market and do what … Continue ReadingCentral Bank of Turkey chasing pipe dreams
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets IMF reminds interest rate risks as global debt rises to $226 trillion Cem CetingucPosted on16 December, 2021 Global debt surged to $226 trillion last year, its biggest one-year jump since World War … Continue ReadingIMF reminds interest rate risks as global debt rises to $226 trillion
Categories Atilla Yeşilada Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets Comment: Will Turkey’s Central Bank ever stop cutting rates? Atilla YeşiladaPosted on16 December, 2021 With Fed turning decidedly more hawkish on Wednesday, the other highlight of the week is … Continue ReadingComment: Will Turkey’s Central Bank ever stop cutting rates?
Categories General HIGHLIGHTS New Finance Minister reveals Turkey won’t prioritize high interest rates Cem CetingucPosted on3 December, 20213 December, 2021 Turkey will not prioritize high interest rates under the new economic model, the newly appointed … Continue ReadingNew Finance Minister reveals Turkey won’t prioritize high interest rates
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS JP Morgan: Slower growth but high inflation in 2022–Turkey Atilla YeşiladaPosted on25 November, 2021 Growth momentum remains strong and the risks to our 2021 growth forecast of 8.4% are … Continue ReadingJP Morgan: Slower growth but high inflation in 2022–Turkey