Categories Company & Industry Finance HIGHLIGHTS Morgan Stanley on TURKEY: Rate cutting cycle delayed, TL to remain healthy, too early for bank stocks Atilla YeşiladaPosted on21 October, 2024 Key Takeaways We expect a rate-cutting cycle to start with 250bp in January. Keeping this … Continue ReadingMorgan Stanley on TURKEY: Rate cutting cycle delayed, TL to remain healthy, too early for bank stocks
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS Markets Citigroup reports international investors avoiding Turkey due to ‘overvalued’ TL: Bloomberg” Cem CetingucPosted on4 October, 20244 October, 2024 The relative strength of Turkey’s lira may be holding back major portfolio inflows even after … Continue ReadingCitigroup reports international investors avoiding Turkey due to ‘overvalued’ TL: Bloomberg”
Categories Atilla Yeşilada HIGHLIGHTS Markets COMMENTARY: TL assets hit by EM concerns, carry-unwind, dim earnings prospects Atilla YeşiladaPosted on29 August, 2024 Turkey’s 15 minutes under the stage lights appeared to over in August, as TL came … Continue ReadingCOMMENTARY: TL assets hit by EM concerns, carry-unwind, dim earnings prospects
Categories Economy General HIGHLIGHTS Turkey’s Q1 Budget Deficit Surpasses $15.8 Billion Cem CetingucPosted on17 April, 2024 Turkey’s central government budget posted a deficit of 209 billion Turkish liras ($6.5B) in March, … Continue ReadingTurkey’s Q1 Budget Deficit Surpasses $15.8 Billion
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS HYPED Turks rush into the dollar, gold and stocks as inflation savages TL Cem CetingucPosted on25 March, 2024 Down a dimly lit alleyway tucked just inside Istanbul’s Grand Bazaar, a few dozen men … Continue ReadingTurks rush into the dollar, gold and stocks as inflation savages TL
Categories Finance Güldem Atabay HIGHLIGHTS Guldem Atabay: Will CB rate hike attract foreign investment? Is dollarization over? Atilla YeşiladaPosted on24 March, 202425 March, 2024 Foreign investors’ interest in Turkish financial markets remains high, as judged by comments in global … Continue ReadingGuldem Atabay: Will CB rate hike attract foreign investment? Is dollarization over?
Categories Business Economy Emerging Markets HIGHLIGHTS Banana, apple exports boost post TL depreciation Cem CetingucPosted on22 March, 202422 March, 2024 According to EastFruit analysts, another collapse in the Turkish national currency has led to significant consequences for … Continue ReadingBanana, apple exports boost post TL depreciation
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets Cyprus Economy Bank: FX turbulence stopped by CBRT measures; stock market collateral damage Atilla YeşiladaPosted on14 March, 2024 Turkish financial markets ended yesterday with an unpleasant tone. At first you may think that … Continue ReadingCyprus Economy Bank: FX turbulence stopped by CBRT measures; stock market collateral damage
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS Persistent inflation in Turkey spurs calls for further interest rate hikes Cem CetingucPosted on13 March, 2024 As inflation is soaring in Türkiye, the central bank’s decision to halt monetary tightening is … Continue ReadingPersistent inflation in Turkey spurs calls for further interest rate hikes
Categories Economy General HIGHLIGHTS Title corrected: Simsek promises fiscal rectitude to help CB lower inflation Cem CetingucPosted on12 March, 202412 March, 2024 Türkiye’s finance minister Mehmet Simsek announced on Monday the government’s determination to tighten fiscal policies to support … Continue ReadingTitle corrected: Simsek promises fiscal rectitude to help CB lower inflation
Categories Economy Finance HIGHLIGHTS FX market volatility is provisional: Minister Şimşek Cem CetingucPosted on11 March, 2024 The recent volatility in the FX market should be viewed as temporary, Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek has … Continue ReadingFX market volatility is provisional: Minister Şimşek
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets TL flirts with new lows vs USD, but no worries Atilla YeşiladaPosted on11 January, 2024 Dollar/TL pair is about to close trading in Istanbul interbank market, at 29.99, a smidgeon … Continue ReadingTL flirts with new lows vs USD, but no worries
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets HSBC: New era for the lira Atilla YeşiladaPosted on4 January, 2024 The imbalance between the demand and supply of FX is likely to persist in 2024. … Continue ReadingHSBC: New era for the lira
Categories General HIGHLIGHTS Markets Morning news from Turkey: Foreign policy dominates, outlook for TL positive Atilla YeşiladaPosted on1 December, 2023 In a Reuters report, a senior official from the US State Department stated that Foreign … Continue ReadingMorning news from Turkey: Foreign policy dominates, outlook for TL positive
Categories Atilla Yeşilada Finance HIGHLIGHTS COMMENTARY: A sanguine TL outlook until March local elections Atilla YeşiladaPosted on21 November, 2023 Winter is upon us, one more time, along with perennial worries about currency shocks, which … Continue ReadingCOMMENTARY: A sanguine TL outlook until March local elections
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Has orthodox economic policy bolstered the Turkish Lira? Atilla YeşiladaPosted on18 November, 202322 November, 2023 Almost half of a year has passed since the central bank of Turkey changed its … Continue ReadingHas orthodox economic policy bolstered the Turkish Lira?
Categories Economy HIGHLIGHTS ING Think: Turkish economy slowing, fiscal spend to increase in 4Q2023 Atilla YeşiladaPosted on9 November, 2023 Recent growth indicators confirm slowdown in activity The contraction in August industrial production and the … Continue ReadingING Think: Turkish economy slowing, fiscal spend to increase in 4Q2023
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets Barclay’s predicts “modest CB” rate hike, higher dollar/TL Atilla YeşiladaPosted on16 September, 2023 The Central Bank Monetary Policy Committee (PPK) increased its key interest rate by 750 basis … Continue ReadingBarclay’s predicts “modest CB” rate hike, higher dollar/TL
Categories Finance HIGHLIGHTS Markets CNBC: Turkey’s lira sinks to fresh record low after Erdogan re-election Atilla YeşiladaPosted on29 May, 2023 The Turkish lira sank to a fresh record low Monday as incumbent Recep Tayyip Erdogan … Continue ReadingCNBC: Turkey’s lira sinks to fresh record low after Erdogan re-election
Categories Finance HYPED Markets Central Bank of Turkey issues two new rules to stem demand for FX Atilla YeşiladaPosted on17 May, 2023 The recent re-election of Erdogan as Turkey’s president renewed concerns of a further fall in … Continue ReadingCentral Bank of Turkey issues two new rules to stem demand for FX
