UPDATE: Three polls, one conclusion:  People are sick and tired of AK Party

Cover photo:  AK Party’s logo is a light bulb

Three polls by Metropoll, ORC and Dİ-EN conducted over the span of last 10 days, asking different questions arrive at the same conclusion:   The majority of participants are deeply frustrated by the AK Party administration. So much so, that nearly half the population wishes to flee the country!

 

According to Metropoll Research, 44.8 percent of voters want to live in another country

 

Metropoll Research President Özer Sencar shared the results of the ‘Turkey’s Pulse July Survey’ on his social media account.  In the survey, 44.8 percent of the participants answered “Yes” and 54.5 percent answered “No” to the question “Would you like to live in another country if you had the opportunity?” Most of those who say they want to live in another country are CHP, Good Party (IYP) and pro-Kurdish Dem Party voters. Most of those who say they want to live in Turkey are AKP members.

 

ORC:  Demand for early elections is on the rise

According to ORC Research’s survey, the demand for early elections is rapidly increasing in Turkey. While 47.5 percent of those who participated in the survey conducted in August 2024 supported early elections, the rate of those who opposed them remained constant.

The survey conducted by ORC Research on 10-12 August 2024 in 26 provinces across Turkey revealed that calls for early elections are getting stronger. Among the 2260 people who participated in the survey, 47.5 percent stated that they supported early elections, while 39.5 percent opposed this demand. 13 percent of the participants were undecided or did not express an opinion on this issue.

The results of the survey show a continuous increase in the desire for early elections since May 2024. While the rate of those who wanted early elections was 43 percent in May, it increased to 45.9 percent in June, 46.3 percent in July and 47.5 percent in August. These results show that support for early elections continues to increase in society.

 

The rate of those opposing early elections remained almost constant at 39.5 percent. This rate was measured as 38.2 percent in May, 39.1 percent in June and 39.8 percent in July.

In conclusion, it appears that the demand for early elections continues to grow stronger in Turkey and a significant segment of the society wants to see a change in the current political environment. The findings indicate that  the public debate swirling around early election  may intensify in the coming months.

 

Dİ-EN Survey: AKP’s decline is accelerating!

In the results of the latest survey conducted by Dİ-EN Research Company asking the question “Which party would you vote for if there was an election on Sunday?”, AKP fell below 30 percent for the first time in survey’s history. The economic crisis in Turkey and the condemnation of retirees to pensions below the official poverty threshold  continue to cause headaches for AKP and President Erdogan.

Dİ-EN Research Company conducted the survey with 2000 participants across Turkey between 3-7 August 2024. Chief  Researcher (Ms.) Tacire Baktaş announced the results of poll for the first time on TELE1, a left-leaning anti-AKP private broadcasting station.

In the survey conducted with the hybrid method, the question “Who would you vote for if there was an election this Sunday?” was asked. According to the results of the survey, AKP fell below 30 percent for the first time.

The results of the survey are as follows:

CHP: 35.4 percent (main opposition party)

AKP: 29.2 percent

DEM: 9.1 percent (pro-Kurdish rights)

MHP: 8.8 percent (nationalist, AKP’s ally in the Republican Alliance)

YRP: 6.7 percent (Islamist)

İYİ Party: 3.2 percent (center-right)

Victory Party: 3 percent (anti-immigrant)

Other: 4.6 percent

 

To the question of “Do you think a return to the parliamentary system is necessary?” Citizens who answered the question said yes at a rate of 65.8 percent. The answers are as follows:

Yes: 65.8 percent

No: 23.1 percent

I am undecided: 7.2 percent

No idea: 3.9 percent

 

 

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Published By: Atilla Yeşilada

GlobalSource Partners’ Turkey Country Analyst Atilla Yesilada is the country’s leading political analyst and commentator. He is known throughout the finance and political science world for his thorough and outspoken coverage of Turkey’s political and financial developments. In addition to his extensive writing schedule, he is often called upon to provide his political expertise on major radio and television channels. Based in Istanbul, Atilla is co-founder of the information platform Istanbul Analytics and is one of GlobalSource’s local partners in Turkey. In addition to his consulting work and speaking engagements throughout the US, Europe and the Middle East, he writes regular columns for Turkey’s leading financial websites VATAN and www.paraanaliz.com and has contributed to the financial daily Referans and the liberal daily Radikal.